Conf = MAC State = PA
Nickname = Colonials Coach = Courtney GroveGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.3892212 home-field advantage = -0.90 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 8- 9, 90.4) 3-19 218 H Cincinnati American (10- 7, 87.5) 0-15 222 H Boston College Atlantic Coas (20- 3, 99.9) 2-23 224 A Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 5-10, 84.3) 11-17 228 A St Francis Northeast ( 8- 8, 80.6) 9-15 302 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 4-13, 81.3) 9-16 308 A Queens Atlantic Sun ( 9- 8, 86.0) 13- 8 312 A Mount St Marys Metro Atlanti ( 8-10, 87.0) 6-15 316 H Canisius Metro Atlanti (11- 7, 85.3) 7- 8 317 H Akron MAC ( 7- 9, 81.1) 10- 9 323 A Kent State MAC ( 6-11, 81.7) 11-10 330 H Detroit Mercy MAC ( 6-12, 81.4) 9-12 407 A Central Michigan MAC ( 5-13, 82.6) 6-13 409 A Pittsburgh Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 88.2) 2-19 413 H Youngstown State MAC ( 0-16, 76.8) 17- 6 416 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 81.1) 14- 8 427 A Eastern Michigan MAC ( 7- 9, 81.7) 12-10 502 N Eastern Michigan MAC ( 7- 9, 81.7) 12-11 504 N Detroit Mercy MAC ( 6-12, 81.4) 14-10 510 A Maryland Big Ten (14- 6, 97.0) 1-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Ohio State 3-19 -16 -9 0.00 218 H Cincinnati 0-15 -15 -4 - -2.06 222 H Boston College 2-23 -21 -17 0.00 224 A Bucknell 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.41 228 A St Francis 9-15 -6 0 --- -6.13 302 A George Washington 9-16 -7 0 --- -6.49 308 A Queens 13- 8 5 -5 +++ 10.23 312 A Mount St Marys 6-15 -9 -6 -0.78 316 H Canisius 7- 8 -1 -2 1.78 317 H Akron 10- 9 1 1 -0.48 323 A Kent State 11-10 1 0 1.98 330 H Detroit Mercy 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.16 407 A Central Michigan 6-13 -7 -1 -- -5.14 409 A Pittsburgh 2-19 -17 -7 0.00 413 H Youngstown State 17- 6 11 5 1.31 416 H Duquesne 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.55 427 A Eastern Michigan 12-10 2 0 + 2.97 502 N Eastern Michigan 12-11 1 0 1.07 504 N Detroit Mercy 14-10 4 0 + 3.74 510 A Maryland 1-17 -16 -16 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A St Francis 9-15 -6 0 --- -6.13 302 A George Washington 9-16 -7 0 --- -6.49 330 H Detroit Mercy 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.16 407 A Central Michigan 6-13 -7 -1 -- -5.14 218 H Cincinnati 0-15 -15 -4 - -2.06 224 A Bucknell 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.41OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Queens 13- 8 5 -5 +++ 10.23 416 H Duquesne 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.55 427 A Eastern Michigan 12-10 2 0 + 2.97 504 N Detroit Mercy 14-10 4 0 + 3.74
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 81.64 Power Rank................. 108 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 66.84 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 93 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5065 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 102 RPI Rating............... .4195 RPI Rank................... 97 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 107 Selection sum ........... 299 Selection Rank ............ 101 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -225. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 100 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -230. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 100 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 13.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7